AI ML

OpenAI predicts major AI breakthroughs by 2028, despite ‘serious weaknesses’

10 November 2025
3 minutes
OpenAI says it expects AI to be able to make major discoveries by 2028, despite still facing “serious weaknesses.”

“We’ve got some great new products and not much about the world changed, even though computers can now converse and think about hard problems”, the AI giant said.

“Most of the world still thinks about AI as chatbots and better search, but today, we have systems that can outperform the smartest humans at some of our most challenging intellectual competitions.

“Although AI systems are still spikey and face serious weaknesses, systems that can solve such hard problems seem more like 80% of the way to an AI researcher than 20% of the way. The gap between how most people are using AI and what AI is presently capable of is immense.”

This comes as the company revealed it expects AI to make small discoveries next year, in sectors including healthcare, education and science.

“Although the potential upsides are enormous, we treat the risks of superintelligent systems as potentially catastrophic,” OpenAI warned.

Meanwhile, it also insists that “no one should deploy superintelligent systems without being able to robustly align and control them.”

Even with such progress, OpenAI expects daily life to remain relatively stable. “Although we expect rapid and significant progress in AI capabilities in the next few years, we expect that day-to-day life will still feel surprisingly constant,” the company said.

Still, it believes AI could create “new and hopefully better ways to live a fulfilling life,” though it acknowledges that “the economic transition may be very difficult.”

Additionally, OpenAI is also calling for “shared standards and insights from the frontier labs,” as well as new systems for oversight and accountability.

“We can imagine ideas like frontier labs agreeing to certain standards around AI control evaluations being quite helpful. Society went through a similar process to establish building codes and fire standards, which have saved countless lives,” the company stated.

“In either scenario, building out an AI resilience ecosystem will be essential. When the internet emerged, we didn’t protect it with a single policy or company- we built an entire field of cybersecurity: software, encryption protocols, standards, monitoring systems, emergency response teams etc.

“That ecosystem didn’t eliminate risk, but it reduced it to a level society could live with, enabling people to trust digital infrastructure enough to build their lives and economies on it,” OpenAI concluded.

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